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2024-12-14 03:56:46

South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a public speech: I will fight with the public until the last moment.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".


Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Australia's 3-year government bond yield rose by 10 basis points, and the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate cut is expected to cool down.The restricted shares with a market value of 2.546 billion yuan were lifted today. Yongda, Sitaili and Dameng Data were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Thursday (December 12), the restricted shares of 8 companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 175 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 2.546 billion yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 10 million. Si Taili, Yongda and Ningxin New Materials were among the top, with 95,895,400 shares, 65,203,300 shares and 6,633,200 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili and Dameng Data are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 1.039 billion yuan, 992 million yuan and 349 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of the two companies released from the ban exceeded 10%. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili Co., Ltd. and Ningxincai Co., Ltd. have the highest proportion of lifting the ban, accounting for 27.17%, 21.87% and 7.13% respectively.


South Korean President Yin Xiyue appeared in the office on Thursday for the first time in five days.The US dollar just broke through the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest price was 7.2698 yuan, down 0.10% in the day.CITIC Jiantou: With the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that recently, the National Energy Administration issued the "Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovation and Development of New Business Entities in the Power Field", proposing that new business entities should be exempted from applying for power business licenses and exploring the mechanism of establishing new energy direct connection to increase the supply of green power for enterprises. Specifically, the new business entities include distributed power supply, adjustable load, virtual power plant and smart microgrid. At present, the installed capacity of new energy in China is growing rapidly. Due to the restriction of power grid access capacity, the problem of power abandonment is on the rise. The mechanism of direct connection of new energy enterprises is helpful to improve the ability of local consumption of new energy, reduce the abandonment of wind and light, and promote the improvement of project yield. Generally speaking, with the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the profitability of new energy power generation projects is expected to improve marginally, and the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted.

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